It's that time of year. I suppose some of you have been running mock drafts for weeks already, but for the rest of us it's just now time to start thinking about our 2010 fantasy roster. The first installment of the Koko rankings is for QBs.
These projections are intended to establish the baseline minimum accuracy as the most reasonably naive predictions. The general explanation of the system along with details of the regression plots can be found in the 2010 QB post.
| Rank | Player | Yds/G | TD/G | Int/G | Sk/G | Fum/G | RYds/G | RTDs/G | Pts/G | Proj Pts |
| 1 | Drew Brees | 258 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.1 | 12.1 | 164.1 |
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers | 251 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 17 | 0.2 | 11.6 | 157.1 |
| 3 | Peyton Manning | 253 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 11.3 | 154.0 |
| 4 | Brett Favre | 243 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 10.8 | 147.4 |
| 5 | Tom Brady | 249 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 10.8 | 146.5 |
| 6 | Matt Schaub | 261 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.1 | 10.7 | 145.9 |
| 7 | Philip Rivers | 245 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.1 | 10.6 | 143.6 |
| 8 | Tony Romo | 252 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.1 | 10.3 | 140.5 |
| 9 | Ben Roethlisberger | 256 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 6 | 0.1 | 10.1 | 103.6* |
| 10 | Donovan McNabb | 239 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 9 | 0.1 | 9.9 | 135.3 |
| 11 | Eli Manning | 238 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.1 | 9.8 | 132.7 |
| 12 | Jay Cutler | 227 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 10 | 0.1 | 9.5 | 129.0 |
| 13 | Matt Ryan | 216 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.1 | 9.5 | 129.0 |
| 14 | Alex Smith | 219 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 5 | 0.1 | 9.3 | 126.1 |
| 15 | Carson Palmer | 209 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.1 | 9.1 | 124.0 |
| 16 | Kyle Orton | 231 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 5 | 0.1 | 9.0 | 122.7 |
| 17 | Jason Campbell | 225 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 13 | 0.1 | 8.8 | 119.1 |
| 18 | Vince Young | 190 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 20 | 0.1 | 8.7 | 118.9 |
| 19 | David Garrard | 224 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 17 | 0.1 | 8.7 | 118.5 |
| 20 | Matthew Stafford | 225 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 10 | 0.1 | 8.7 | 118.2 |
| 21 | Joe Flacco | 225 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.1 | 8.6 | 117.3 |
| 22 | Matt Hasselbeck | 220 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 8 | 0.1 | 8.2 | 111.3 |
| 23 | Chad Henne | 215 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 7.6 | 103.7 |
| 24 | Matt Cassel | 209 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 0.1 | 7.6 | 103.7 |
| 25 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 183 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 12 | 0.1 | 7.5 | 102.2 |
| 26 | Josh Freeman | 205 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 14 | 0.1 | 7.5 | 101.9 |
| 27 | Mark Sanchez | 193 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 7 | 0.1 | 7.4 | 100.2 |
| 28 | Brady Quinn | 179 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 9 | 0.1 | 7.3 | 98.7 |
| 29 | Marc Bulger | 194 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.1 | 6.6 | 89.8 |
| 30 | Jake Delhomme | 204 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 6 | 0.1 | 6.6 | 89.4 |
